Sunday, April 12, 2026

As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg)

Bloomberg:
As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game  —  From Kalshi and Polymarket to niche scientific platforms, traders are predicting the weather — and climate experts are debating the results.



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Sam Altman says OpenAI will not pursue an IPO until it can make confident safety claims about its AI models, but waiting too long would be "bad for the world" (Hayden Field/The Verge)

Hayden Field / The Verge : Sam Altman says OpenAI will not pursue an IPO until it can make confident safety claims about its AI models, b...